The Singularity is less than 10 years away, says AI veteran Decryption

Generative AI is firmly embedded in the cultural fabric, and everyone from computer scientists to social media curators is looking for the next big leap: the singularity, the moment when AI surpasses human intelligence and escapes human control.

Before the mainstream acceptance of generative artificial intelligence and growing concerns about the dangers of the technology, experts and theorists speculated that the singularity was decades away, giving humans time to prepare for a world powered by artificial intelligence and supercomputers. It has been transformed, get ready. But Ben Goertzel, CEO of artificial intelligence and blockchain developer SingularityNET, believes that the rise of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is years, not decades away.

“I would say now, three to eight years is my guess,” Goertzel said, “and that’s partly because big language models like Llama2 meta and OpenAI’s GPT-4 are helping and making real progress.” decoding. These systems have greatly increased the world’s appetite for AGI, so you will have more resources, both money and human energy.

Goertzel is a leading figure in artificial intelligence who has spent years articulating the concept of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). He has a Ph.D. in mathematics from Temple University and has contributed in various fields including artificial intelligence, cognitive science and complex systems. Since 2010, Goertzel has served as president and vice president of Humanity+ and the General Artificial Intelligence Society, respectively.

In 2017, Goertzel co-founded the artificial intelligence and blockchain company SingularityNET with David Hanson of Hanson Robotics, developers of the robots Sophia, Grace and Desdemona.


The technological singularity is a hypothetical future point at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, leading to drastic, unpredictable changes in human civilization.

Naysayers and skeptics may balk at the idea of ​​computers becoming as intelligent or even smarter than humans. However, Geortzel says that the development of AGI stems from the same impulse that led to other human advances, such as the shift from a hunter-gatherer society to an agricultural society. And such changes are not always for the better.

Why did we develop agriculture and towns and cities instead of living in a Stone Age style? he requested. “By some measures life has improved since the Stone Age, but by other measures life has worsened. You weren’t as neurotic and mentally ill as we are now.

Another factor driving the development of artificial intelligence is humanity’s restlessness, Goertzel said, adding that while the development of artificial intelligence may appear to be based on individual motivations, it is moving toward a greater goal.

Goertzel said the reason for AI was initially partly curiosity, but the US military probably funded AI from the 1950s until the turn of the century. So in the beginning, why was it national defense.

He continued: Now the reason is to make money for companies, but it’s interesting that for artists or musicians, it gives you interesting tools to play with.

Beyond the brain

AGI describes artificial intelligence that can learn and perform any intellectual task that a human can. Unlike specialized artificial intelligence that excels at one task, AGI has a broader understanding of the world, much like the human brain. However, achieving AGI is a challenging and so far unrealized goal.

Those pursuing AGI include Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, who launched xAI in July with the goal of an unbiased and transparent AGI. The company’s first chatbot, Grok, entered early public testing last weekend.

The main goal of xAI is to make a good product [artificial general intelligence] With the overall goal of understanding the world, Musk said at the time. The safest way to build an AI is to build an AI that is maximally curious and truthful.

AGI is one of the important points on the path to singularity.

“Our vision is to move toward a positive, beneficial, and benevolent singularity for the benefit of all humanity,” said Janet Adams, executive director of SingularityNET. decoding As Adams explained in an interview in August, robotics is essential to progress toward the singularity.

While AI developers have worked to instill human values ​​into generative AI models, Goertzel cautioned that values ​​change over time.

“We don’t want AI to do exactly what we think is right today, because what we think is right, 20 years from now, is not what we think is right today,” Goertzel said.

Edited by Ryan Ozawa.

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